As the 2024 White House election approaches, the latest poll shows former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by two points, 46% to 44%.
The ABC News/Ipsos poll, released Sunday, found that among people who are already registered to vote, Biden won just 1 percentage point, split 46% to 45%. found. Those who are “likely” to vote are more likely to support Mr. Biden, with 49% favoring him compared to 45% for Mr. Trump.
The poll was conducted online between April 25 and April 30 among 2,200 adults, roughly divided into three categories: Republicans, Democrats, and independent voters. The survey allowed him a 2% sampling error, which could be a significant factor in a close race.
more:Can you trust the 2024 election polls about Donald Trump and Joe Biden? Here’s how to cut through the noise.
What do these results mean for Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
According to ABC, President Trump’s favorability rating may be driven by voters’ perceptions of how he deals with the major issues facing the country.
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Of the 10 issues voters asked about, Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden on the economy, inflation, crime and safety, immigration, gun violence, America’s global standing and possible response to the Israel-Hamas war.
When voters were asked about the economy, 46% said Trump would do a better job managing the economy, compared to 32% for Biden. Forty-four percent said Trump would do a good job of combating inflation, compared to 30% for Biden.
Biden led in two areas: access to health care and abortion, which increased by 39% and 41%. Trump and Biden were evenly divided on “defending democracy.” .
On the other hand, when asked about the candidate’s “personal likability,” Biden leads, with 40% of respondents viewing him as more “honest and trustworthy,” compared to Trump’s 33%. That’s what it means.
The poll also showed Biden’s approval rating at 35% and disapproval at 57%, while Trump’s retrospective approval rating was at 44% and his disapproval at 50%.
Hush money trial between third party candidate and Trump
When asked about the likelihood that Trump will be convicted between now and the November election, Trump’s supporters appear to intend to continue supporting him, with 80% saying they will continue to support him. Only 4% said they supported it, while only 4% said they did not support it. 16% said they would reconsider supporting Trump, who is currently facing a criminal trial in New York in connection with the hush money payments, if he was ultimately convicted.
The five-way poll, which considered leading third-party candidates, independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, found that the split between Biden and Trump was , along similar lines, albeit on a smaller scale. Two-way race voting.
Mr. Kennedy won 12%, and the majority of potential supporters tended to lean Republican.West and Stein received 2% and 1%, respectively.